Monsoon conditions are unfavorable in Delhi and four other states. The large-scale atmospheric conditions are presently unfavorable for the monsoon to progress further into Delhi, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Punjab, and Haryana. The India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) National Weather Forecasting Centre stated on Thursday.
However, because of the current cyclonic circulation over east Uttar Pradesh at the lower levels. There may be sluggish development into certain areas of Uttar Pradesh during the next five days.
On Thursday, the IMD forecasts a partly overcast sky with light rain or thundershowers, along with wind (up to 30-40 kmph). However, the highest temperature in the national capital is expecting to remain around 37 degrees Celsius.
In Delhi, the lowest temperature fell to 26.2 degrees Celsius, two degrees below the season’s average.
The IMD pointed to a western disturbance behind the atmospheric conditions that resulted in a trough in the mid and upper tropospheric westerlies. The trough, which has an axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level. And runs roughly along longitude 72 degrees east to the north of latitude 22 degrees north. Has its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level.
Cyclonic circulations are also anticipated across eastern Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, and neighboring regions of northwest Rajasthan and Haryana. South Assam, and Gangetic West Bengal, and neighboring Bangladesh at lower tropospheric levels.
At mean sea level, the trough spans from south Punjab to south Assam, passing through south Haryana, north Uttar Pradesh, central Bihar, and north Gangetic West Bengal, the IMD said. It rises to a maximum elevation of 0.9 kilometers above mean sea level.
The IMD anticipates broad to widespread rainfall with isolated thunderstorms and lightning across the majority of east, central, and northeast India. During the next 4-5 days as a result of these atmospheric changes in the system.
Isolated heavy rainfall is likely to occur across the area over the next 4-5 days, as will isolate extremely heavy precipitation across Bihar on Thursday; and West Bengal and Sikkim on Thursday and Friday.
Scattered to moderately widespread rainfall with isolated thunderstorms and lightning is also forecast over the next 24 hours. With rainfall activity decreasing afterward except in east Uttar Pradesh. Where fairly widespread rainfall is expecting to persist over the following 3-4 days.
The offshore trough passes off the coastlines of Karnataka and Kerala. Resulting in broad to widespread rainfall with isolated heavy rain, thunderstorms, and lightning across the Konkan, Goa, Karnataka, Kerala, and Mahe during the next two days.
Thursday and Friday are expecting to see very severe rainfall across Konkan and Goa, as well as coastal Karnataka.
Over Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, and Jharkhand on Thursday and Friday. Severe thunderstorms with frequent cloud-to-ground lightning and strong gusty winds are quite probable.
Additionally, the IMD projected that maximum temperatures would remain stable in most areas of Northwest India over the next 48 hours. And then increase by 2-4 degrees Celsius.
“Over the next 4-5 days, there will be little change in the maximum temperature over the bulk of the country.”
Additionally, extensive rainfall is possible, with isolated heavy rains expected across the majority of Northeast India, East India, and along the west coast. IMD stated the rest of the country will see isolated to scattered showers.